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Risidev Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:20 pm
Hi cb. Balpharma, rkdl, jupiter, india infoline, what abt these stocks? Can i enter these stocks @ cmp?
CB, replies: Hi Risidev, all are looking a bit weak.don't enter these yet
reem Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:23 pm
hi CB/kartik
How r u
I have rolta at 163 chambal fert 97
Havent more money for avarage that stocks should i exit or hold
CB, replies: Hi reem, rolta has strong support at 139-140. if holds onto it, can se 150-155. others are also a hold for now. can expect some bounce soon
c m kumawat Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:23 pm
investment in shree ashtavinayak cinevision at present level is safe or not? please comment.
CB, replies: Hi c m kumawat, no. its a high risk bet. better to stay away
matlee Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:27 pm
Dear Fellow NSEGuiders, Hope the below is an interesting analysis.
Good Luck,
Filed Under (Market Observations) by Deepak Singh on 11-01-2011

Markets do not go down in a straight line. True or False. This fall illustrates the answer pretty well
Market Observations
Only ten days - Nifty is down 6% this month. Has the damage been done OR more is in store for us?
Six percent looks like a joke because large cap Nifty stocks are losing 5-6% effortlessly on a single day.
Technically - Nifty needs to lose another 2.8% to reach 200 dma of 5596
What has been the most disturbing aspect of this fall: Straight Line decline which indicates the panic. There has been not even a minor recovery since we started falling.
Are DIIs fighting a losing battle?
Yesterday, FIIs bought Rs. 2085 crores of options. The panic seems to have set in.
Market is extremely oversold in near term…but with more market participants inclined to sell the rally…it seems market has more difficult days ahead.
Thank God..Global cues are ok right now. Just imagine what would have happened if Global cues were bad?
The big question: What is market trying to price in?
There is a saying -You can forecast earnings growth but you cannot forecast psychology of market sentiment that determines the PE ratio?
Most of the analysts believe: What we are seeing is PE compression. With inflation more persistent this time now, there is a feeling that margins of Corporate India will be under some pressure.
Is Sensex trading at fair Value? - FY12 EPS estimates stand at 1200-1250..and assuming 16x multiples as fair value…..Sensex value comes at 19200.
The big question: Is 1200 EPS estimates an optimisitic figure or a realistic figure. It depends whom you ask
What we need to watch for in next few days? - Will Nifty hold 200 dma?
It is tough to say: the way Nifty stocks are tumbling below 200 dma…and the momentum has built up….anything can happen. Yesterday, Bank Nifty dipped below 200 dma
Source: Chartalert.com
Nifty 50 is split in the middle….with 25 stocks below 200 dma and 25 above 200 dma
Bulls best hope: Bharti Telecom; ITC, TCS and Infosys
The way Reliance came off does raise the alarm bell.
Infosys will declare its earnings tomorrow. Does it have the potential to change the mood of the market? Watch 3350-3360 on the downside. The stock should hold this level. Yesterday, the stock did give a mid day scare.
When markets are in terrible state of mind: there is nothing called safe haven.
Jindal Saw: Will it hold? The stock should find support at 203 - 200 dma.
Market always has a habit of doing something unexpected all the time. The big question figuring out: What that unexpected thing is?
Sophisticated market knowledge = Myth….What you need: constantly looking market action and asking Ifs and Buts question
The whole problem with the world is that fools and fanatics are always so certain of themselves, but wiser people so full of doubts. - Bertrand Russell
CB, replies: Hi matlee, very true. thanks for the analysis
CB Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:34 pm
Hi Risidev, all are looking a bit weak.don't enter these yet
Hi reem, rolta has strong support at 139-140. if holds onto it, can se 150-155. others are also a hold for now. can expect some bounce soon
Hi c m kumawat, no. its a high risk bet. better to stay away
Hi matlee, very true. thanks for the analysis
Hi akj, yes, hold it. its a bit weak. markets too after a small bounce are likely to correct again
gayaram Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:34 pm
Hi matlee, Thanks.
Chandan Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:39 pm
What is Target of nagarjuna fert after merger/demerger?
CB, replies: Hi Chandan, no, not really sure about it yet
jaga Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:39 pm
sir,I hv jaicorp @220.u hv given support for this stock is 200..it breaks that level.so i wd like to know,if i wd hold this stock one month from here.can i get back to the level of 220.......
CB, replies: Hi jaga, yes. hold it for short term. as we near budget, its likely to do well
ramsingh Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 6:45 pm
Hai CB!
What is the tommorrow target price for TCI Finance.
CB, replies: Hi ramsingh, can see 66
Chandan Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:04 pm
Sir its a good news for naga fert?
CB, replies: Hi Chandan, its kinda positive. hold it for short term. also fertilizer stocks tend to do well as we near budget
ramsingh Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:05 pm
Hai CB!
We buy Sel Manufacturing at current level or what level again average.
CB, replies: Hi ramsingh, no, dont enter it yet
jems Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:06 pm
Hi cb.. Can v see cairn ind 350 and welcorp near 180 next week?
CB, replies: Hi jems, cairn above 335 can see 446. not sure of welcorp yet
Nishant Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:07 pm
can i buy go long or short in PATNI tomorrow pls?
CB, replies: Hi Nishant, yes. for short term. one can enter it in small quantity
sabbir Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:28 pm
hi, cb
i am buy exide fut 167 cmp 153 hols or sell ?
CB, replies: Hi sabbir, yes. its a good short term play. hold it
ANANTHA. K Says:
January 11th, 2011
Posted at: 7:28 pm
dear sir , i have bought RELIANCE 1100 CALL @ 7 now it is @ 3.6 should i book loss ?pls ans
CB, replies: Hi ANANTHA. K, hold it for now. keep sl near 1000