Intraday calls for 21-09-11
Markets likely to open lower, Resistance for nifty is at 5160 support at 5090
Buy VIP Industries around 992, Target: 1020, SL 980 – (book profit in VIP ind at 1015)
9:30am: Book profits in ICICI bank at 892
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Abdullah Says:
September 21st, 2011
Posted at: 11:55 pm
Hi Kartik, Fed just said it will not change interest rates and announces Operation Twist
Abdullah Says:
September 21st, 2011
Posted at: 11:58 pm
Hi Kartik, My guess was right. Fed will sell 3 years and less maturity bonds and will use the money to purchase 6 to 12 years maturity bonds. Operation twist underway :)
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:01 am
Hi Kartik, Desperate efforts to bring the yield curve lower by Fed
Gitanjali Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:02 am
Hi Abdullah, yes...and everyone was on tenterhooks, unnecessarily.
Hi Kartik, Can we short nifty now..?or buy a 500pe...[will it depreciate faster than 5100 ?]
Gitanjali Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:09 am
Hi Abdullah, "They tried 'Operation Twist' in the 1960s. It didn't work then and it won't work now," said David Kelly, chief market strategist for J.P. Morgan Funds. "People are gradually understanding that when you have interest rates close to zero, there's not a lot that the Federal Reserve can do ... The best chance for economic growth doesn't come from anything that Washington is doing." --
each analyst has something to tell !
It is just that US had been too used to a good life .
DJ Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:16 am
Hi abdullah
i feel fed's statement is not going to hurt indian markets sentiments.what u feel
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:21 am
Hi DJ, Not really sure about immediate response of Indian markets, but see Kartik's post at 10:31 pm where he quoted my comments made on September 9, 2011. Looks like, money will flow in to India in mid to long term :)
DJ Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:25 am
Hmmm...good observation bhai.dow is recovering now.seems tmrw 5200 is on the cards
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 12:30 am
Hi DJ, Thanks. Yes, some sort of positive response in Indian markets can be expected. Lets us also look for Asian cues tomorrow, and if positive, then Wow :)
Sohan Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 1:11 am
Good Early night morning....
Abdullah we hope so....
Any particular stocks which could see buying...
Sohan
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 1:25 am
Hi Gitanjali, Somehow, just saw your comments. Yes, operation twist didnot work earlier. My guess is, it may also not work this time. The Fed has merely twisted its portfolio by agreeing to sell shorter term bonds and buying longer term bonds. Now, this will bring down the longer term yields. But the risk Fed faces is, what if the longer term securities default? Maximum money is going to be deployed for purchasing 30 year T-Notes. So, in other words, the Fed has given the Govt. of USA 30 long years to pull the country out of the bad phase. (Considering, Fed holds the bonds till maturity, i.e., 30 years and will ask for maturity benefits after 30 years). The external debt of USA is over 100% of its GDP. In simple words, all that the Fed is telling to the Govt is : Look, you have 30 years to pay me my money, reduce the debt, increase GDP. Hence the ball is now in Capitol Hill's court. Policymakers in Govt will have to device ways to make the country grow.
Is this move going to suceed? The answer is "No" if we go by history. What will happen in India? I believe, some of this extra money will find its way to India in the mid to long term.
Just let me know what do you think about this post :)
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 1:29 am
Hi Sohan, GM. Well, I believe that, when money starts to flow, largecaps will move first and do well. I do not have any particular stock in mind :)
CB Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 2:04 am
Hi Abdullah, Good evening. yes. seems may open lower tomorrow.
Hi prasath bj, yes, icici can be bought on dips. looks better.
Hi Gitanjali, nifty has good support near 5100 levels. if breaks it, one can go short
Hi Sohan, :) not yet. still looking for some
Abdullah Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 2:08 am
Hi CB, Hey, I wrote some long posts. Hope you don't mind that. Good night :)
CB Says:
September 22nd, 2011
Posted at: 2:12 am
Hi Abdullah, :) no issues. please feel free to do so. Good night