Intraday calls for 04-03-11
Markets likely to open higher, resistance for Nifty at 5580
Buy Mcleod Russel at 222, Target: 228, SL 216
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CA.Tejas Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 1:58 pm
Stock to BUY --- Glenmark Pharmaceuticals
Detail analysis are as follows : (One may ask CB before investing / Do own analysis)
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals is an India-based pharmaceutical company engaged in R&D of new molecules. Glenmark Pharma is focused in the areas of inflammation, including asthma/ chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), metabolic disorders, dermatology, anti-infectives, respiratory, gynecology, pediatrics, diabetics, Oncology. The Company has 12 manufacturing facilities in four countries that lists India, Latin America, Central Eastern Europe and Semi Regulated Markets of Africa/Asia/ Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS). It also has five R&D centers, three in India and two overseas.
Company also has good presence in US generic drugs market on it’s own and on partnership model. Company’s business in US is growing at very healthy growth rates. Revenues there have grown at CAGR of 89% in past 4 years. Moreover, company is focusing on specific niche areas in US with lesser competition that would further fuel the growth.
Glenmark pharma is also concentrating on Europian markets. They have acquired a Czech company Medicamenta which operates in Czech republic and Slovakia with branded generic drugs. Company has entered in Romania, Bulgaria, Poland and central, eastern and western European countries.
In Indian pharmaceutical markets, Glenmark is one of the very strong players with R&D capabilities and products at par with Ranbaxy, Dr. Reddy’s and SUN pharma. Dermatology has been the strong niche for Glenmark in India and it is carrying the same strength in international markets too.
Stock valuation
Considering the past growth records of company, we can expect that company sales revenue would grow at ~20% (CAGR) for next 3 years. Net profits for company had grown at over 20% CAGR. With acquisitions in Europe and growth with new product development in pipeline, we can safely expect net profits to grow at least at CAGR 25% for next 3 years. The EPS for FY 12 and FY 13 can safely be estimated at Rs.20 and Rs. 25 against full year estimated EPS of 16 in FY11.
At current stock price of Rs. 300, the stock trades at P/E of 10 times estimated FY13 EPS. You may buy stocks of Glenmark for 2 years with target price of Rs. 400
Akash Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 1:58 pm
Hi CB, Then anything for around 1000 Range? I want to make these 1000 into 15k asap.
CB Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 1:59 pm
Hi ARIJIT, can add another 10%
Hi sanzy, may close near 5500-5520
CB Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 1:59 pm
Hi CA.Tejas, thanks
Hi Akash, no, nothing yet.
balaji Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 1:59 pm
Hi CB, i am holding [email protected], can i hold or exit, if hold what is target? plz advice
CB Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:00 pm
Hi balaji, its a hold. can see 455. keep trailing sl near 438
balaji Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:02 pm
Hi CB, I am holding [email protected] can i hold or exit, what is target, plz advice
CA.Tejas Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:02 pm
Whether mkt is expected to fall ???
namonias Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:03 pm
140iob put9.90canbuynow
CB Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:03 pm
Hi balaji, its a hold for now. can see 174
Hi CA.Tejas, if breaks 5520 can fall further
CB Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:04 pm
Hi namonias, yes.
Mac Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:06 pm
Can I buy Tata Steel 600 PE
Kb Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:06 pm
At 10.21 > Go short on nifty .. TG 40/50 points. ..
Book half & hold half with stop ..
gayaram Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:06 pm
cb, as per yr suggestion bought 5400 put at 82. exit level please
Karan Sharma Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:06 pm
I have 1 lot HINDALCO short @ 211/-. Plz tell what to do?
sourabh Says:
March 4th, 2011
Posted at: 2:06 pm
can we see today bhushan steel 395